It’s day 11 of the government shutdown, and Congress has gone home until at least day 14. That means it’s very likely that military members will not receive their mid-month paycheck (around October 15th) unless the budget issue is resolved quickly.
In soccer terms, you’re watching a breakaway with no goalie in sight. The defense is scrambling. And you? You’re hoping the ball doesn’t hit the back of your financial net.
This moment is a stark reminder: you need a goalkeeper in your finances; a solid emergency fund that can take the strikes when the rest of your support falters.
The FRED Data & Financial Reality*
Let me walk you through what the numbers tell us right now, because numbers provide useful insight.
- The personal saving rate in the U.S. has shrunk to around 4% of disposable income in recent years.
That means for every $100 you bring home, only $4 is going into savings. - A few years back, that rate was more like 6–8%, meaning people were able to build buffers more easily.
- When you combine that low saving rate with median household debt, rent, bills, and inflation, many people are living on the edge.
Here’s the consolidated “scoreboard” table for quick reference:
| Metric | Civilian Govt. Worker | Military Member |
|---|---|---|
| Typical savings buffer | 2–4 weeks | 2–3 weeks |
| Savings rate (FRED, 2024–25) | ~3.5–4.5% | ~5% (DoD estimates) |
| Can cover $400 emergency? | ~60% yes | ~65% yes |
| Survive without pay (cash only) | ~3 weeks | ~3 weeks |
| Survive with credit + aid | 1–2 months | 1–2 months |
In short: most households, including government & military, can’t go more than a few weeks without pay before things get ugly — credit cards, deferred bills, overdrafts, stress.
How to Build Your Fund (with Strategy & Purpose)
Alright, here’s how you build that financial goalkeeper, step by step.
- Start small, then scale.
Don’t let “I need 3–6 months” paralyze you. Start with one month’s bare-minimum expenses (rent, utilities, food, transportation). Once that’s in place, build toward month two, month three, etc. - Use a High-Yield Savings Account (HYSA).
Don’t stash your emergency fund in a low-interest checking account. Pick a HYSA you can access quickly when needed. That way:- Your money is liquid. When the whistle blows, you can grab it without hoops.
- You earn something while it waits. Even 3%–5% APY is better than 0%.
- Automate the deposit.
Treat your emergency fund like a recurring “transfer out”; as soon as your paycheck hits, move a fixed amount (even if small) into that HYSA. You won’t miss what you never see. - Channel windfalls into the fund first.
Backpay after a shutdown, bonuses, tax refunds, extra duty pay; funnel a portion straight into your emergency fund before you “reward yourself.” - Rebalance when life changes.
Promotion? New duty station? Change in family size? Recalculate your 3–6 month number and adjust your contributions. - Don’t mix your match play and your emergency money.
Don’t treat the emergency fund like a bonus fund. It’s not for vacations, gadgets, or impulse buys. It’s your last line of defense.
Don’t Beat Yourself Up — Use This as Fuel
If you’re reading this and thinking, “Coach, I couldn’t even make it past one missed paycheck before spiraling,” (I get it). The important thing now is, don’t shame yourself. Many Americans are in exactly the same boat. Low wages, high rents, student debt, rising costs; the deck is stacked.
What matters is what you do now. Use this shutdown (or any financial shock) as a turning point, not a condemnation. When the government reopens, prioritize building that fund. Every dollar moving forward is a statement: you’re done being on the edge.
You can’t retroactively fix past missed goals, but you can build a stronger defense from this moment forward.
Interest-Free Loan Options: Support in the Trenches
When the game is tough, you don’t always have to go down without backup. There are institutions and relief programs that extend interest-free or zero-interest loans to government workers and military members. Use these carefully, they’re bridges, not long-term safety nets.
Thankfully, there are some institutions willing to provide government workers and military members a helping hand. Here are some you should know about:
- Navy Federal Credit Union: Offering 0% APR “government shutdown” loans (no fees, no credit check) up to $10,000 for eligible federal employees. (link now disabled).
- PenFed Credit Union: Members may qualify for a zero-interest “paycheck protection loan” if their payroll is directly deposited into PenFed. (link now disabled).
- USAA Government Shutdown Program — 0% interest loans between $500 and $6,000 to eligible members impacted by pay disruptions. USAA
- Army Emergency Relief (AER): For Soldiers and families, provides interest-free loans and grants for essential needs. armyemergencyrelief.org+2militaryonesource.mil+2
- Air Force Aid Society (AFAS): Offers no-interest “Falcon Loans” and emergency financial assistance to active duty Air Force members and their families. afas.org+1
- Navy-Marine Corps Relief Society (NMCRS): Provides interest-free loans and grants for active duty Navy/Marine Corps personnel in need. NMCRS (en-US)+1
- Service Federal Credit Union: While not strictly zero-interest lending, they offer deeply discounted loans (with .75% off APR) for military members. Service Federal Credit Union
Use these loans only when truly necessary, they’re a lifeline, not a habit. And always prioritize paying them back quickly so your emergency fund can grow instead of your debt.
Final Whistle
In a perfect match, your defense never has to make a last-second save. But in real life, especially in politics, funding battles, and shutdowns; crisis situations happen unexpectedly. Congress on vacation? Budget gridlock? Missed paycheck? That’s your moment. And you want to have a goalkeeper ready.
An emergency fund in a high-yield savings account gives you breathing room.
It lets you focus on your mission, not your bills.
And it turns a political timeout into a minor pause, not a financial knockout.
You may be where you are today. That’s okay. You’re not stuck there. From this minute forward, build your defense. Every deposit, every windfall, every act of discipline is you stepping back onto the field stronger, more resilient, untouchable even when the play goes sideways.
Building Lasting Habits
Building an Emergency fund is one of the first steps in one’s journey of creating Financial Freedom. What truly moves the needle are the core habits behind the numbers: the routines, systems, and decisions that determine whether you actually take advantage of these core habits year after year.
That is why we created The Core Financial Habits series. It is designed to help you build the four foundational behaviors that build wealth: consistent saving, intentional spending, strategic investing, and ongoing money management. If you are ready to move beyond information and start building the habits that make financial freedom inevitable, begin with Part 1 of the series here: Developing the Core Financial Habits – Introduction.
Coach Holdren’s S.E.M. Calculator
Once those habits are in place, you can take the next step by using Coach Holdren’s S.E.M. Calculator to project your personal timeline to financial freedom. By entering your savings rate, earnings, and investment assumptions, the calculator shows you how the small, consistent actions you take today compound into long-term results. It reveals how your daily decisions shape your overall trajectory and helps you see, with real numbers, how soon you can achieve financial freedom or full independence.
*FRED Data Citations (used for this article)
1. Personal Saving Rate
- Series ID: PSAVERT
- Description: Personal Saving Rate (Percent of Disposable Income)
- Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), via FRED
- Recent Values:
- 2010–2019 average: ~6–8%
- 2020 pandemic spike: 16–30% (April 2020 peak = 32%)
- 2023–2025 levels: fluctuating between 3.5%–4.5%
- Citation format:
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Saving Rate [PSAVERT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PSAVERT
2. Real Disposable Personal Income (for savings rate context)
- Series ID: DSPIC96
- Description: Real Disposable Personal Income, Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars
- Purpose: Used to calculate average household disposable income when estimating real savings behavior.
- Citation format:
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real Disposable Personal Income [DSPIC96], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DSPIC96
3. Median Household Income (used to model household savings buffer)
- Series ID: MEHOINUSA672N
- Description: Real Median Household Income in the United States
- Recent Value (2023): ~$78,000 (2022 constant dollars)
- Citation format:
U.S. Census Bureau, Real Median Household Income in the United States [MEHOINUSA672N], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
4. Household Financial Fragility / Emergency Expense Data
While not a FRED dataset, this statistic is from the Federal Reserve Board’s annual “Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (SHED)”, which FRED and the Fed frequently cross-reference.
- Source:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households in 2023 – May 2024.” - Key statistic: 37% of adults said they could not cover a $400 emergency expense without borrowing or selling something.
- Report link (FederalReserve.gov)